India’s estimates and Research on Monday revised their vision in the global financial sector to stabilize the 2021-2022 financial sector from bad luck despite seeing high pressure coming from the ongoing commercial lending segment.
For public sector banks (PSBs), the vision has been revised to stem from bad and private banks, the agency continues to have a stable view.
It is estimated that fully pressed assets (underperformed assets (GNPA) + restructured assets) could increase 30% of the banking system, an increase of about 1.7 times in the second half of the 2020-21 second quarter.
According to the director of the institute (financial institutions) Jindal Haria: The past nine months have given banks the opportunity to strengthen their supply and even more with pressed assets, which existed prior to the epidemic. We expect that by the end of the FY21 year, provisions will increase by approximately 75-80% of those NPAs. This will give banks the opportunity to accept COVID stress.
With the change in accounting practices over the past year, which allows public sector banks (PSBs) to reduce their balance sheet profits and losses with a share premium account, major banks will be able to manage to raise additional funds on their own.
The agency also revised its debt growth rates to 6.9% in FY21 from the previous 1.8%, and 8.9% in FY22. It stated that approximately 1.24% of the total bank account is subject to additional NPA proforma and approximately 1.75% of the total letter could be rescheduled by FY21. This is escalating stress due to the COVID-19 epidemic and does not include clusters that banks will see in a normal business way, he said.
Haria said much of the pressure on sales comes from unprotected development and will be more visible in the private sector banks than in the public sector banks because they have been receiving more unsecured loans. The assets sold by PSBs could rise to 2.9% in FY22 from 2.1% to FY21, while they could rise from 1.2% to 4.3% in the private sector, it said.
With the underlying analysis of depressed companies using two filters – income over cr 100 crore and interest rate less than 1.5x, the agency found that the company’s depressed assets as a percentage of the bank’s biggest debt dropped to 15.3% in the end – 1HFY21 from 15.7 % at last-FY20.